Conservatives Edge Upward in BC Ridings as Local Races Tighten

The New Democrats are ahead in four ridings, while the Liberals are now leading in three.

Burnaby, BC – The latest round of riding level polling conducted by Insights West for Dogwood Initiative shows the New Democratic Party (NDP) and the Liberal Party as preferred choices in the Canadian federal election, with the Conservative Party holding steady or growing its support.

The telephone survey comprises interviews with 2,107 residents of seven federal ridings.

“The New Democrats are holding on to the lead in four of the seven ridings, but the Conservatives have improved their standing over the past few weeks,” said Mario Canseco, Vice President, Public Affairs at Insights West. “In the North Shore of the Lower Mainland, the Liberal Party is definitely gaining traction.”

This is the second time Insights West has polled in these ridings this year. A third wave of interviews will be conducted ahead of the federal election on October 19.

The results for each riding, as well as tracking data from the previous wave, can be reviewed in the links below:

•    Burnaby North–Seymour
•    Courtenay–Alberni
•    Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke
•    North Vancouver
•    South Okanagan–West Kootenay
•    Vancouver South
•    West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea-to-Sky Country

These polls are part of the information being offered by Dogwood Initiative’s nonpartisan “Vote BC” campaign, which aims to increase voter turnout in British Columbia. Visitors to VoteBC.ca can also find detailed survey responses from their local candidates and maps of past election results.

Dogwood Initiative brings together more than 250,000 British Columbians around democracy, civil rights and environmental stewardship. Through innovative issue-driven campaigns, Dogwood’s 3,000-person volunteer team works to re-engage citizens in politics and build local power.

The results included in this release are based on a telephone study conducted from September 9 to September 13, 2015, among:

–    302 adult residents of the West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea-to-Sky Country riding
–    297 adult residents of the North Vancouver riding
–    301 adult residents of the Burnaby North—Seymour riding
–    303 adult residents of the Vancouver South riding
–    301 adult residents of the Courtenay—Alberni riding
–    300 adult residents of the Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke riding
–    303 adult residents of the South Okanagan—West Kootenay riding

The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/-5.6 percentage points for each riding, 19 times out of 20. Click here for a presentation of these results.

For further information, please contact:

Mario Canseco
Vice President, Public Affairs, Insights West
778-929-0490
mariocanseco@insightswest.com

Kai Nagata
Energy & Democracy Director, Dogwood Initiative
778-829-6493
kai@dogwoodinitiative.org

 

Photograph: Iouri Goussev